J-Train Computer Rankings, 2016 Week 9

I made a minor adjustment to the formula this week. There was nothing I particularly disliked about the results thus far, but there was an aspect of the formula that I hadn’t thought about previously and felt there could be substantial improvement. Because the adjustment affected the symmetric nature of the rating numbers, I normalized them to a 0-100 scale. The Prev column this week reflects the retroactive rankings of last week rather than the published rankings.

More information on this system can be found here. Conference rankings are listed at the bottom. Thanks to Ken Massey for the data. These rankings are included on Massey’s ranking composite page.

Rk Team Record SOS Rating % Bhnd % Bhnd 1st Prev
1 Alabama 8-0 7 73.75 1
2 Michigan 8-0 24 70.66 6.5% 4.2% 2
3 Clemson 8-0 11 67.67 6.3% 8.2% 3
4 Ohio St 7-1 18 66.60 2.3% 9.7% 4
5 Washington 8-0 77 65.81 1.7% 10.8% 6
6 Texas A&M 7-1 20 63.73 4.4% 13.6% 7
7 Louisville 7-1 56 63.15 1.2% 14.4% 5
8 Auburn 6-2 12 62.40 1.6% 15.4% 11
9 W Michigan 8-0 109 61.82 1.2% 16.2% 8
10 Wisconsin 6-2 2 61.39 0.9% 16.8% 15
11 Florida 6-1 57 60.79 1.3% 17.6% 14
12 Penn St 6-2 4 60.60 0.4% 17.8% 16
13 Colorado 6-2 22 60.33 0.6% 18.2% 17
14 Nebraska 7-1 47 60.01 0.7% 18.6% 10
15 Boise St 7-1 39 59.62 0.8% 19.2% 9
16 LSU 5-2 33 58.70 1.9% 20.4% 19
17 Tennessee 5-3 1 58.35 0.7% 20.9% 13
18 USC 5-3 6 57.89 1.0% 21.5% 23
19 Virginia Tech 6-2 41 57.47 0.9% 22.1% 24
20 West Virginia 6-1 64 57.06 0.9% 22.6% 12
21 Washington St 6-2 43 56.87 0.4% 22.9% 21
22 Florida St 5-3 10 56.73 0.3% 23.1% 20
23 Troy 6-1 102 56.72 0.0% 23.1% 22
24 Oklahoma 6-2 40 55.87 1.8% 24.2% 25
25 Stanford 5-3 8 55.82 0.1% 24.3% 31
26 Baylor 6-1 122 55.71 0.2% 24.5% 18
27 Houston 7-2 83 55.33 0.8% 25.0% 29
28 South Florida 7-2 85 55.11 0.5% 25.3% 32
29 Minnesota 6-2 65 55.03 0.2% 25.4% 34
30 Utah 7-2 48 55.01 0.0% 25.4% 26
31 Oklahoma St 6-2 81 54.83 0.4% 25.7% 37
32 Appalachian St 6-2 73 54.76 0.1% 25.7% 28
33 North Carolina 6-2 49 53.59 2.5% 27.3% 33
34 Tulsa 6-2 86 53.17 0.9% 27.9% 50
35 Temple 6-3 66 53.13 0.1% 28.0% 39
36 San Diego St 7-1 126 52.64 1.0% 28.6% 43
37 Pittsburgh 5-3 38 52.62 0.0% 28.6% 36
38 WKU 6-3 88 52.06 1.2% 29.4% 44
39 Toledo 6-2 121 51.86 0.4% 29.7% 27
40 Wyoming 6-2 78 51.82 0.1% 29.7% 53
41 Northwestern 4-4 23 51.68 0.3% 29.9% 46
42 Arkansas 5-3 16 51.59 0.2% 30.1% 45
43 BYU 4-4 21 51.28 0.7% 30.5% 38
44 Navy 5-2 76 51.24 0.1% 30.5% 30
45 Miami FL 4-4 45 51.16 0.2% 30.6% 35
46 Georgia Tech 5-3 37 51.13 0.1% 30.7% 52
47 Mississippi 3-5 5 51.05 0.2% 30.8% 41
48 Kentucky 5-3 25 50.59 1.0% 31.4% 60
49 Iowa 5-3 87 50.22 0.8% 31.9% 56
50 MTSU 6-2 115 50.19 0.1% 31.9% 47
51 Maryland 5-3 79 49.87 0.7% 32.4% 40
52 NC State 4-4 34 49.74 0.3% 32.6% 42
53 Louisiana Tech 6-3 119 49.60 0.3% 32.7% 59
54 UCF 4-4 54 48.88 1.5% 33.7% 55
55 Kansas St 5-3 80 48.84 0.1% 33.8% 58
56 UCLA 3-5 14 48.65 0.4% 34.0% 57
57 California 4-4 27 48.52 0.3% 34.2% 54
58 Arizona St 5-4 29 48.52 0.0% 34.2% 51
59 Oregon 3-5 15 48.37 0.3% 34.4% 73
60 Indiana 4-4 28 48.22 0.3% 34.6% 65
61 Wake Forest 5-3 75 48.12 0.2% 34.8% 49
62 Memphis 5-3 101 47.44 1.4% 35.7% 48
63 Texas 4-4 42 47.42 0.0% 35.7% 72
64 Vanderbilt 4-4 32 47.40 0.0% 35.7% 67
65 Air Force 5-3 112 47.37 0.1% 35.8% 61
66 Texas Tech 4-4 59 46.90 1.0% 36.4% 70
67 Georgia 4-4 31 46.84 0.1% 36.5% 64
68 Southern Miss 5-3 108 46.75 0.2% 36.6% 71
69 Colorado St 4-4 44 46.56 0.4% 36.9% 66
70 Army 5-3 125 46.23 0.7% 37.3% 81
71 TCU 4-4 82 46.03 0.4% 37.6% 62
72 Boston College 4-4 69 45.79 0.5% 37.9% 90
73 South Carolina 4-4 30 45.47 0.7% 38.3% 95
74 SMU 4-4 46 45.30 0.4% 38.6% 78
75 Old Dominion 5-3 114 45.28 0.0% 38.6% 75
76 Ohio 6-3 124 45.26 0.1% 38.6% 83
77 New Mexico 5-3 120 45.08 0.4% 38.9% 76
78 Syracuse 4-4 36 45.02 0.1% 39.0% 74
79 Mississippi St 3-5 50 44.96 0.1% 39.0% 84
80 Notre Dame 3-5 58 44.45 1.1% 39.7% 89
81 Oregon St 2-6 3 44.21 0.5% 40.1% 82
82 C Michigan 5-4 95 43.99 0.5% 40.4% 69
83 Akron 5-4 99 43.57 0.9% 40.9% 63
84 E Michigan 5-4 98 42.74 1.8% 42.1% 68
85 Duke 3-5 51 42.64 0.2% 42.2% 88
86 Ga Southern 4-4 96 42.58 0.1% 42.3% 80
87 Missouri 2-6 26 42.26 0.7% 42.7% 79
88 Rutgers 2-6 9 42.07 0.4% 43.0% 94
89 Cincinnati 4-4 91 42.04 0.1% 43.0% 86
90 North Texas 4-4 104 41.73 0.6% 43.4% 77
91 UT San Antonio 4-4 118 41.71 0.0% 43.4% 100
92 Utah St 3-5 67 41.65 0.1% 43.5% 85
93 Michigan St 2-6 17 41.54 0.2% 43.7% 103
94 Illinois 2-6 13 41.40 0.3% 43.9% 87
95 East Carolina 3-5 62 41.31 0.2% 44.0% 106
96 South Alabama 4-4 97 41.13 0.4% 44.2% 98
97 Arizona 2-6 19 40.85 0.6% 44.6% 91
98 Idaho 4-4 63 40.73 0.3% 44.8% 96
99 Tulane 3-5 89 40.16 1.2% 45.5% 93
100 Hawaii 4-5 100 39.93 0.5% 45.9% 92
101 Arkansas St 3-4 94 39.25 1.4% 46.8% 109
102 Kent 3-6 92 39.08 0.4% 47.0% 110
103 Ball St 4-4 127 38.88 0.4% 47.3% 99
104 ULL 3-4 111 38.72 0.3% 47.5% 102
105 Purdue 3-5 60 38.27 0.9% 48.1% 101
106 Georgia St 2-6 72 38.13 0.3% 48.3% 104
107 Virginia 2-6 53 37.79 0.7% 48.8% 108
108 N Illinois 2-6 70 37.52 0.6% 49.1% 107
109 Connecticut 3-6 71 37.39 0.3% 49.3% 97
110 Miami OH 3-6 106 36.25 2.4% 50.9% 114
111 UNLV 3-6 116 35.55 1.5% 51.8% 105
112 Charlotte 3-5 113 34.31 2.6% 53.5% 112
113 Iowa St 1-7 61 34.15 0.3% 53.7% 115
114 Massachusetts 2-7 84 33.71 0.9% 54.3% 125
115 Marshall 2-6 103 33.51 0.4% 54.6% 111
116 San Jose St 3-6 105 33.49 0.0% 54.6% 123
117 New Mexico St 2-6 52 33.34 0.3% 54.8% 117
118 Florida Intl 3-6 107 32.89 1.0% 55.4% 116
119 Nevada 3-5 128 32.51 0.8% 55.9% 119
120 ULM 2-6 90 32.48 0.1% 56.0% 113
121 Kansas 1-7 35 31.96 1.1% 56.7% 118
122 Rice 1-7 68 31.33 1.3% 57.5% 120
123 Texas St 2-5 110 31.24 0.2% 57.6% 121
124 UTEP 2-6 93 31.00 0.5% 58.0% 126
125 Bowling Green 1-7 55 30.89 0.2% 58.1% 122
126 Fresno St 1-8 74 30.71 0.4% 58.4% 124
127 Buffalo 2-6 123 28.45 4.8% 61.4% 128
128 FL Atlantic 1-7 117 27.35 2.3% 62.9% 127

Best win: Michigan 49-10 vs. Penn St.
Worst loss: Akron 20-41 vs. Buffalo

Rk Conference Rating Best Team Worst Team
1 SEC 54.13 73.75 42.26
2 Big 10 52.68 70.66 38.27
3 Pac-12 52.57 65.81 40.85
4 ACC 51.62 67.67 37.79
5 Big 12 47.88 57.06 31.96
6 American 47.54 55.33 37.39
7 Mountain West 43.08 59.62 30.71
8 MAC 41.69 61.82 28.45
9 Sun Belt 40.82 56.72 31.24
10 Conference USA 39.83 52.06 27.35

SOS = Strength of schedule ranking based on games played
% Bhnd = Percentage of the average team’s rating a team is behind the next highest-ranked team
% Bhnd 1st = Percentage a team is behind the number one team

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